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The United States of diversity

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The democratic Party is still looking this candidate angel who will defeat Donald Trump in the presidential election next November. Iowa will have had to help do the sorting, but the american democracy is output banged up this election.

In fact, american democracy came limping in Iowa and is poised to continue its road clopin limped along in New Hampshire. This is the Iowa, not New Hampshire, does not represent the ethnic diversity, cultural and social development of the United States.

It has always known and always a few denounced, but the miseries iowiennes to count the votes of the caucus last Monday’s encouraging more and more Americans to question the status of these two States to ” choose the first “.

Just take the portrait ethnic of the country : the majority of the population remains white, but the changes are happening quickly, and for the first time, this year, latino voters will be more numerous than the Afro-Americans. Except that, for 12 % of Blacks and 18 % of Latinos across the country, that are there in Iowa ? 3 % of Blacks and 6 % Latinos ! New Hampshire is even worse.

Moreover, our tiny neighbor to the south, who will make his choice the day after tomorrow, among the eleven democratic candidates in the running — turns out, as noted in the Washington Post this week, a kind of fault national : “all points of view, New Hampshire is horribly unrepresentative of the country : people are making too much money, they are grizzled, over-educated, extremely white and not enough religious. “

AN ELECTORATE TO WOO

For those who wonder about the interest in the voting minority, it is only to listen to president Trump that one cannot be suspected of bias against minorities. His speech on the state of the Union — the speech on his state of mind ” as it is mocked Nancy Pelosi — has been generous with exaggerations and errors.

The new era of prestige world of the United States that he has raised is belied by the opinion polls that indicate a disapproval of planetary near-unanimous of his administration. “The best relationship of United States with China” is showing growing signs of extreme tension and his defence of the rights of the person concerned only Venezuelans ; so much the worse for the Saudis, Chinese and others.

Except that his emphasis on the unemployment rate at historically low levels of Blacks (6 %), Latino (4.3 %) and asian Americans (3 %) is not false. And even if 90 % of African-Americans, according to a recent poll, disapprove of his job as president, Donald Trump does not need the support of a handful (or almost) of them to stay at the White House.

NOTHING MAKES THE DIFFERENCE

You doubt it ? Remember that it is through crumbs of percentage that he won the Wisconsin (0.8 percent), Pennsylvania (0.7%), and Michigan (0.2 percent) in 2016. And in 2000, remember, it is by 540 votes that George W. Bush won Florida, and, by extension, his ticket to the presidency. Really not much world to convince them to make a difference !

As for the democrats, they have serious questions to ask. They have attracted around 170 000 participants in the Iowa caucuses, a figure comparable to 2016, but far behind the enthusiasm raised by the candidacy of Barack Obama in 2008. They are going to have to fill in and quickly, a real hollow enthusiasm.

Fareed Zakaria, in the Washington Post this week, speaking of the choice of a leader, recalled the phrase “Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line ” (democrats fall in love, republicans fall in rank). Gallup has just confirmed that, regardless of its excess, 94 % of republicans are supporting Donald Trump. No choice, the democrats are going to have to shake.

UNEMPLOYMENT RATES HISTORICALLY LOW…

  • White : 3.1 per cent
  • Black : 6 %
  • Latin : 4,3 %
  • Asian : 3 %

… YET, TRUMP RECEIVES LITTLE CREDIT.

  • … disapprove of the president’s job Trump : 90 %
  • … say that Trump is a racist : 83 %
  • … believe that what Trump is bad for their community : 76 %
  • … consider that this is a bad time to be black in the United States : 65 %

United States

  • White : 60 %
  • Latino : 18 %
  • Black : 12 %
  • Asian : 6 %
  • Amerindian : 1 %

Iowa

  • White : 86 %
  • Latinos : 6 %
  • Black : 3 %
  • Asian : 3 %
  • Native american : – 1 %

New Hampshire

  • White : 90 %
  • Latino : 4 %
  • Asian : 3 %
  • Black : 1 %

Illinois (State reference)

  • White : 61 %
  • Latinos : 17 %
  • Black : 14 %
  • Asian : 6 %
  • Native american : – 1 %

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